T able B1. Open in new tab Trade...

Dep: ln Manuf Exports	Coefficients		Coefficients
ln dist	−0.797***	−0.82***	ln GDP exp	1.405***	0.087
	[0.00]	[0.003]		[0.00]	[0.472]
contiguity	−1.944***	4.182***	ln GDP imp	0.782***	−0.326***
	[0.055]	[0.00]		[0.00]	[0.001]
com. lang.	0.528***	−0.378	civil war exp	0.255	−
	[0.00]	[0.272]		[0.207]	−
com. col.	1.20***	−0.258	civil war imp	−0.03	−
	[0.00]	[0.49]		[0.888]	−
colonizer	1.611***	−	civil conflict exp	0.234	−
	[0.00]	−		[0.205]	−
RFTA	1.151***	−0.165	civil conflict imp	0.113	−
	[0.00]	[0.717]		[0.498]	−
infra exp	0.416***	2.647***
	[0.00]	[0.00]	p-value Mills' ratio	[0.066]
infra imp	0.192*	0.733	p-value religion	[0.000]
	[0.098]	[0.233]
ll exp	−0.84***	−0.063	nr. obs	14946
	[0.00]	[0.86]	censored	11184
ll imp	−1.252***	0.189	uncensored	3762
	[0.00]	[0.56]
isl exp	−0.797***	0.284
	[0.00]	[0.616]
isl imp	−0.342**	−0.41
	[0.044]	[0.443]

Dep: ln Manuf Exports

Coefficients

Variable

ROW

Extra SSA

Variable

ROW

Extra SSA

ln dist

−0.797***

−0.82***

ln GDP exp

1.405***

0.087

[0.00]

[0.003]

[0.00]

[0.472]

contiguity

−1.944***

4.182***

ln GDP imp

0.782***

−0.326***

[0.055]

[0.00]

[0.001]

com. lang.

0.528***

−0.378

civil war exp

0.255

−

[0.00]

[0.272]

[0.207]

−

com. col.

1.20***

−0.258

civil war imp

−0.03

−

[0.00]

[0.49]

[0.888]

−

colonizer

1.611***

−

civil conflict exp

0.234

−

[0.00]

−

[0.205]

−

RFTA

1.151***

−0.165

civil conflict imp

0.113

−

[0.00]

[0.717]

[0.498]

−

infra exp

0.416***

2.647***

[0.00]

p-value Mills' ratio

[0.066]

infra imp

0.192*

0.733

p-value religion

[0.000]

[0.098]

[0.233]

ll exp

−0.84***

−0.063

nr. obs

14946

[0.00]

[0.86]

censored

11184

ll imp

−1.252***

0.189

uncensored

3762

[0.00]

[0.56]

isl exp

−0.797***

0.284

[0.00]

[0.616]

isl imp

−0.342**

−0.41

[0.044]

[0.443]

Dep: ln Manuf Exports	Coefficients		Coefficients
ln dist	−0.797***	−0.82***	ln GDP exp	1.405***	0.087
	[0.00]	[0.003]		[0.00]	[0.472]
contiguity	−1.944***	4.182***	ln GDP imp	0.782***	−0.326***
	[0.055]	[0.00]		[0.00]	[0.001]
com. lang.	0.528***	−0.378	civil war exp	0.255	−
	[0.00]	[0.272]		[0.207]	−
com. col.	1.20***	−0.258	civil war imp	−0.03	−
	[0.00]	[0.49]		[0.888]	−
colonizer	1.611***	−	civil conflict exp	0.234	−
	[0.00]	−		[0.205]	−
RFTA	1.151***	−0.165	civil conflict imp	0.113	−
	[0.00]	[0.717]		[0.498]	−
infra exp	0.416***	2.647***
	[0.00]	[0.00]	p-value Mills' ratio	[0.066]
infra imp	0.192*	0.733	p-value religion	[0.000]
	[0.098]	[0.233]
ll exp	−0.84***	−0.063	nr. obs	14946
	[0.00]	[0.86]	censored	11184
ll imp	−1.252***	0.189	uncensored	3762
	[0.00]	[0.56]
isl exp	−0.797***	0.284
	[0.00]	[0.616]
isl imp	−0.342**	−0.41
	[0.044]	[0.443]

Table B1.

Open in new tab

Trade Equation Without Importer and Exporter Dummies. Year = 2008

Dep: ln Manuf Exports	Coefficients			Coefficients
Variable	ROW	Extra SSA	Variable	ROW	Extra SSA
ln dist	−0.797***	−0.82***	ln GDP exp	1.405***	0.087
	[0.00]	[0.003]		[0.00]	[0.472]
contiguity	−1.944***	4.182***	ln GDP imp	0.782***	−0.326***
	[0.055]	[0.00]		[0.00]	[0.001]
com. lang.	0.528***	−0.378	civil war exp	0.255	−
	[0.00]	[0.272]		[0.207]	−
com. col.	1.20***	−0.258	civil war imp	−0.03	−
	[0.00]	[0.49]		[0.888]	−
colonizer	1.611***	−	civil conflict exp	0.234	−
	[0.00]	−		[0.205]	−
RFTA	1.151***	−0.165	civil conflict imp	0.113	−
	[0.00]	[0.717]		[0.498]	−
infra exp	0.416***	2.647***
	[0.00]	[0.00]	p-value Mills' ratio	[0.066]
infra imp	0.192*	0.733	p-value religion	[0.000]
	[0.098]	[0.233]
ll exp	−0.84***	−0.063	nr. obs	14946
	[0.00]	[0.86]	censored	11184
ll imp	−1.252***	0.189	uncensored	3762
	[0.00]	[0.56]
isl exp	−0.797***	0.284
	[0.00]	[0.616]
isl imp	−0.342**	−0.41
	[0.044]	[0.443]

Dep: ln Manuf Exports	Coefficients			Coefficients
Variable	ROW	Extra SSA	Variable	ROW	Extra SSA
ln dist	−0.797***	−0.82***	ln GDP exp	1.405***	0.087
	[0.00]	[0.003]		[0.00]	[0.472]
contiguity	−1.944***	4.182***	ln GDP imp	0.782***	−0.326***
	[0.055]	[0.00]		[0.00]	[0.001]
com. lang.	0.528***	−0.378	civil war exp	0.255	−
	[0.00]	[0.272]		[0.207]	−
com. col.	1.20***	−0.258	civil war imp	−0.03	−
	[0.00]	[0.49]		[0.888]	−
colonizer	1.611***	−	civil conflict exp	0.234	−
	[0.00]	−		[0.205]	−
RFTA	1.151***	−0.165	civil conflict imp	0.113	−
	[0.00]	[0.717]		[0.498]	−
infra exp	0.416***	2.647***
	[0.00]	[0.00]	p-value Mills' ratio	[0.066]
infra imp	0.192*	0.733	p-value religion	[0.000]
	[0.098]	[0.233]
ll exp	−0.84***	−0.063	nr. obs	14946
	[0.00]	[0.86]	censored	11184
ll imp	−1.252***	0.189	uncensored	3762
	[0.00]	[0.56]
isl exp	−0.797***	0.284
	[0.00]	[0.616]
isl imp	−0.342**	−0.41
	[0.044]	[0.443]

Notes: We report estimated coefficients and not marginal effects. Marginal effects, and the results for the 1st stage probit are available upon request. The coefficients are used as input in the construction of our market access measures. *, **, *** denotes significant at the 5 percent level in at least 50, 80, or 100 percent of the years. Source: Authors' analysis based on data sources discussed in the main text or Appendix A.

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