Table 2.

Logistic Regression of Trial Discontinuation and Nonpublicationa

Trial characteristicsDiscontinued trials (n = 57)Unpublished trials (n = 67)
No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)
AdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjusted
InterventionBiological4 (7.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)4 (6.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Device2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.8)0.1 (0.0–2.0)1 (1.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.7)0.1 (0.0–1.1)
Drug25 (43.9%)0.1 (0.0–1.0)0.2 (0.0–1.8)29 (43.3%)0.1 (0.0–1.8)0.3 (0.0–2.4)
Drug and procedure1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.4)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.2 (0.0–2.8)
Drug and radiation10 (17.5%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.2 (0.0–1.6)8 (11.9%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.1 (0.0–1.2)
Multiple interventions3 (5.3%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.1)4 (6.0%)0.1 (0.0–1.2)0.1 (0.0–1.5)
Other1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–1.1)0.1 (0.0–1.9)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–3.6)0.3 (0.0–4.7)
Procedure2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.5)0.1 (0.0–1.3)7 (10.4%)0.8 (0.0–21.2)1.8 (0.1–36.3)
Procedure and radiation3 (5.3%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.3 (0.0–3.8)4 (6.0%)0.3 (0.0–6.0)0.5 (0.0–8.0)
Radiation6 (10.5%)0.1 (0.0–2.7)0.5 (0.1–6.7)6 (9.0%)0.2 (0.0–4.3)0.5 (0.0–6.7)
FundingIndustry8 (14.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)11 (16.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Industry and otherb4 (7.0%)1.4 (0.2–10.1)2.5 (0.5–12.5)4 (6.0%)0.8 (0.1–5.3)1.9 (0.7–5.4)
NIH1 (1.8%)1.4 (0.1–20.7)1.3(0.1–15.8)2 (3.0%)2.2 (0.1–36.1)1.1 (0.3–3.7)
NIH and otherc5 (8.8%)0.7 (0.2–3.3)0.9 (0.2–3.3)7 (10.4%)0.9 (0.2–3.6)1.7 (0.3–9.1)
Otherd39 (68.4%)4.2 (1.3–13.8)2.3 (0.9–5.9)43 (64.2%)1.8 (0.6–5.4)3.4 (0.3–45.0)
LocationInternational35 (61.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)41 (61.2%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
United States22 (38.6%)2.3 (0.8–6.3)0.8 (0.4–1.5)26 (38.8%)1.3 (0.5–3.3)1.3 (0.7–2.6)
Trial characteristicsDiscontinued trials (n = 57)Unpublished trials (n = 67)
No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)
AdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjusted
InterventionBiological4 (7.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)4 (6.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Device2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.8)0.1 (0.0–2.0)1 (1.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.7)0.1 (0.0–1.1)
Drug25 (43.9%)0.1 (0.0–1.0)0.2 (0.0–1.8)29 (43.3%)0.1 (0.0–1.8)0.3 (0.0–2.4)
Drug and procedure1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.4)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.2 (0.0–2.8)
Drug and radiation10 (17.5%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.2 (0.0–1.6)8 (11.9%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.1 (0.0–1.2)
Multiple interventions3 (5.3%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.1)4 (6.0%)0.1 (0.0–1.2)0.1 (0.0–1.5)
Other1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–1.1)0.1 (0.0–1.9)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–3.6)0.3 (0.0–4.7)
Procedure2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.5)0.1 (0.0–1.3)7 (10.4%)0.8 (0.0–21.2)1.8 (0.1–36.3)
Procedure and radiation3 (5.3%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.3 (0.0–3.8)4 (6.0%)0.3 (0.0–6.0)0.5 (0.0–8.0)
Radiation6 (10.5%)0.1 (0.0–2.7)0.5 (0.1–6.7)6 (9.0%)0.2 (0.0–4.3)0.5 (0.0–6.7)
FundingIndustry8 (14.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)11 (16.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Industry and otherb4 (7.0%)1.4 (0.2–10.1)2.5 (0.5–12.5)4 (6.0%)0.8 (0.1–5.3)1.9 (0.7–5.4)
NIH1 (1.8%)1.4 (0.1–20.7)1.3(0.1–15.8)2 (3.0%)2.2 (0.1–36.1)1.1 (0.3–3.7)
NIH and otherc5 (8.8%)0.7 (0.2–3.3)0.9 (0.2–3.3)7 (10.4%)0.9 (0.2–3.6)1.7 (0.3–9.1)
Otherd39 (68.4%)4.2 (1.3–13.8)2.3 (0.9–5.9)43 (64.2%)1.8 (0.6–5.4)3.4 (0.3–45.0)
LocationInternational35 (61.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)41 (61.2%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
United States22 (38.6%)2.3 (0.8–6.3)0.8 (0.4–1.5)26 (38.8%)1.3 (0.5–3.3)1.3 (0.7–2.6)

aLogistic regression adjusted for intervention, funding source, and location of trial conductance.

bIndustry and other: industry plus a hospital or university, government, and nonprofit organization (n = 8).

cNIH and other: NIH plus nonprofit organization (n = 3), NIH plus a hospital or university (n = 9).

dOther: Hospital or university (n = 57), nonprofit organization (n = 15), nonprofit organization plus a hospital or university (n = 6), private (n = 2), nonprofit organization plus private (n = 2).

Table 2.

Logistic Regression of Trial Discontinuation and Nonpublicationa

Trial characteristicsDiscontinued trials (n = 57)Unpublished trials (n = 67)
No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)
AdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjusted
InterventionBiological4 (7.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)4 (6.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Device2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.8)0.1 (0.0–2.0)1 (1.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.7)0.1 (0.0–1.1)
Drug25 (43.9%)0.1 (0.0–1.0)0.2 (0.0–1.8)29 (43.3%)0.1 (0.0–1.8)0.3 (0.0–2.4)
Drug and procedure1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.4)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.2 (0.0–2.8)
Drug and radiation10 (17.5%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.2 (0.0–1.6)8 (11.9%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.1 (0.0–1.2)
Multiple interventions3 (5.3%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.1)4 (6.0%)0.1 (0.0–1.2)0.1 (0.0–1.5)
Other1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–1.1)0.1 (0.0–1.9)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–3.6)0.3 (0.0–4.7)
Procedure2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.5)0.1 (0.0–1.3)7 (10.4%)0.8 (0.0–21.2)1.8 (0.1–36.3)
Procedure and radiation3 (5.3%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.3 (0.0–3.8)4 (6.0%)0.3 (0.0–6.0)0.5 (0.0–8.0)
Radiation6 (10.5%)0.1 (0.0–2.7)0.5 (0.1–6.7)6 (9.0%)0.2 (0.0–4.3)0.5 (0.0–6.7)
FundingIndustry8 (14.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)11 (16.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Industry and otherb4 (7.0%)1.4 (0.2–10.1)2.5 (0.5–12.5)4 (6.0%)0.8 (0.1–5.3)1.9 (0.7–5.4)
NIH1 (1.8%)1.4 (0.1–20.7)1.3(0.1–15.8)2 (3.0%)2.2 (0.1–36.1)1.1 (0.3–3.7)
NIH and otherc5 (8.8%)0.7 (0.2–3.3)0.9 (0.2–3.3)7 (10.4%)0.9 (0.2–3.6)1.7 (0.3–9.1)
Otherd39 (68.4%)4.2 (1.3–13.8)2.3 (0.9–5.9)43 (64.2%)1.8 (0.6–5.4)3.4 (0.3–45.0)
LocationInternational35 (61.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)41 (61.2%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
United States22 (38.6%)2.3 (0.8–6.3)0.8 (0.4–1.5)26 (38.8%)1.3 (0.5–3.3)1.3 (0.7–2.6)
Trial characteristicsDiscontinued trials (n = 57)Unpublished trials (n = 67)
No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)No. (%)Odds ratio (95% C.I.)
AdjustedUnadjustedAdjustedUnadjusted
InterventionBiological4 (7.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)4 (6.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Device2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.8)0.1 (0.0–2.0)1 (1.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.7)0.1 (0.0–1.1)
Drug25 (43.9%)0.1 (0.0–1.0)0.2 (0.0–1.8)29 (43.3%)0.1 (0.0–1.8)0.3 (0.0–2.4)
Drug and procedure1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.4)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.2 (0.0–2.8)
Drug and radiation10 (17.5%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.2 (0.0–1.6)8 (11.9%)0.1 (0.0–0.9)0.1 (0.0–1.2)
Multiple interventions3 (5.3%)0.0 (0.0–0.6)0.1 (0.0–1.1)4 (6.0%)0.1 (0.0–1.2)0.1 (0.0–1.5)
Other1 (1.8%)0.0 (0.0–1.1)0.1 (0.0–1.9)2 (3.0%)0.1 (0.0–3.6)0.3 (0.0–4.7)
Procedure2 (3.5%)0.0 (0.0–0.5)0.1 (0.0–1.3)7 (10.4%)0.8 (0.0–21.2)1.8 (0.1–36.3)
Procedure and radiation3 (5.3%)0.1 (0.0–2.1)0.3 (0.0–3.8)4 (6.0%)0.3 (0.0–6.0)0.5 (0.0–8.0)
Radiation6 (10.5%)0.1 (0.0–2.7)0.5 (0.1–6.7)6 (9.0%)0.2 (0.0–4.3)0.5 (0.0–6.7)
FundingIndustry8 (14.0%)1 (reference)1 (reference)11 (16.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
Industry and otherb4 (7.0%)1.4 (0.2–10.1)2.5 (0.5–12.5)4 (6.0%)0.8 (0.1–5.3)1.9 (0.7–5.4)
NIH1 (1.8%)1.4 (0.1–20.7)1.3(0.1–15.8)2 (3.0%)2.2 (0.1–36.1)1.1 (0.3–3.7)
NIH and otherc5 (8.8%)0.7 (0.2–3.3)0.9 (0.2–3.3)7 (10.4%)0.9 (0.2–3.6)1.7 (0.3–9.1)
Otherd39 (68.4%)4.2 (1.3–13.8)2.3 (0.9–5.9)43 (64.2%)1.8 (0.6–5.4)3.4 (0.3–45.0)
LocationInternational35 (61.4%)1 (reference)1 (reference)41 (61.2%)1 (reference)1 (reference)
United States22 (38.6%)2.3 (0.8–6.3)0.8 (0.4–1.5)26 (38.8%)1.3 (0.5–3.3)1.3 (0.7–2.6)

aLogistic regression adjusted for intervention, funding source, and location of trial conductance.

bIndustry and other: industry plus a hospital or university, government, and nonprofit organization (n = 8).

cNIH and other: NIH plus nonprofit organization (n = 3), NIH plus a hospital or university (n = 9).

dOther: Hospital or university (n = 57), nonprofit organization (n = 15), nonprofit organization plus a hospital or university (n = 6), private (n = 2), nonprofit organization plus private (n = 2).

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