Variable . | Expected effect . |
---|---|
Society-centered factors | |
1. Polarized mass protest | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as perpetrator or accomplice |
2. Military background of political leader | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as accomplice |
3. Military veto power and weak civilian control | Increases vulnerability of incumbent and strengthens the military’s ability to act as perpetrator |
4. Incumbent political party | Strong political party reduced incumbent dependency on military; military will act as bystander or accomplice |
Military-centric factors | |
5. Military interests threatened by incumbent | Pushes the military to act as perpetrator, negatively affects the military’s willingness to act as accomplice or bystander |
6. Praetorian tradition | Positively affects the military’s willingness to act against democracy, either as perpetrator or accomplice |
7. Internal security and public order operations as appropriate missions | Positively affects the willingness of the military to act as accomplice |
Variable . | Expected effect . |
---|---|
Society-centered factors | |
1. Polarized mass protest | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as perpetrator or accomplice |
2. Military background of political leader | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as accomplice |
3. Military veto power and weak civilian control | Increases vulnerability of incumbent and strengthens the military’s ability to act as perpetrator |
4. Incumbent political party | Strong political party reduced incumbent dependency on military; military will act as bystander or accomplice |
Military-centric factors | |
5. Military interests threatened by incumbent | Pushes the military to act as perpetrator, negatively affects the military’s willingness to act as accomplice or bystander |
6. Praetorian tradition | Positively affects the military’s willingness to act against democracy, either as perpetrator or accomplice |
7. Internal security and public order operations as appropriate missions | Positively affects the willingness of the military to act as accomplice |
Variable . | Expected effect . |
---|---|
Society-centered factors | |
1. Polarized mass protest | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as perpetrator or accomplice |
2. Military background of political leader | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as accomplice |
3. Military veto power and weak civilian control | Increases vulnerability of incumbent and strengthens the military’s ability to act as perpetrator |
4. Incumbent political party | Strong political party reduced incumbent dependency on military; military will act as bystander or accomplice |
Military-centric factors | |
5. Military interests threatened by incumbent | Pushes the military to act as perpetrator, negatively affects the military’s willingness to act as accomplice or bystander |
6. Praetorian tradition | Positively affects the military’s willingness to act against democracy, either as perpetrator or accomplice |
7. Internal security and public order operations as appropriate missions | Positively affects the willingness of the military to act as accomplice |
Variable . | Expected effect . |
---|---|
Society-centered factors | |
1. Polarized mass protest | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as perpetrator or accomplice |
2. Military background of political leader | Pulls the military into the political arena, positively affects the military’s role as accomplice |
3. Military veto power and weak civilian control | Increases vulnerability of incumbent and strengthens the military’s ability to act as perpetrator |
4. Incumbent political party | Strong political party reduced incumbent dependency on military; military will act as bystander or accomplice |
Military-centric factors | |
5. Military interests threatened by incumbent | Pushes the military to act as perpetrator, negatively affects the military’s willingness to act as accomplice or bystander |
6. Praetorian tradition | Positively affects the military’s willingness to act against democracy, either as perpetrator or accomplice |
7. Internal security and public order operations as appropriate missions | Positively affects the willingness of the military to act as accomplice |
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