Decomposition of two-day responses of Canadian 10-year BEI to U.S. QE announcements
Event . | Ten-year exp. inflation . | Ten-year IRP . | neg. RRB liq. premium . | Ten-year BEI . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 24, 2008 | 162 | 7 | −44 | 125 | |
I | Nov. 26, 2008 | 160 | 2 | −48 | 114 |
Change | −2 | −5 | −4 | −11 | |
Nov. 28, 2008 | 159 | 0 | −50 | 108 | |
II | Dec. 2, 2008 | 156 | −3 | −53 | 100 |
Change | −3 | −3 | −3 | −8 | |
Dec. 15, 2008 | 152 | 9 | −56 | 105 | |
III | Dec. 17, 2008 | 149 | 19 | −61 | 107 |
Change | −2 | 9 | −5 | 2 | |
Jan. 27, 2009 | 148 | 31 | −62 | 117 | |
IV | Jan. 29, 2009 | 150 | 33 | −60 | 123 |
Change | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Mar. 17, 2009 | 147 | 44 | −61 | 129 | |
V | Mar. 19, 2009 | 145 | 54 | −64 | 135 |
Change | −1 | 10 | −3 | 6 | |
Aug. 11, 2009 | 163 | 83 | −27 | 219 | |
VI | Aug. 13, 2009 | 163 | 82 | −27 | 218 |
Change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sep. 22, 2009 | 160 | 77 | −26 | 211 | |
VII | Sep. 24, 2009 | 160 | 78 | −27 | 211 |
Change | 0 | 2 | −1 | 1 | |
Nov. 3, 2009 | 158 | 95 | −23 | 229 | |
VIII | Nov. 5, 2009 | 158 | 90 | −22 | 226 |
Change | 1 | −5 | 2 | −3 | |
Total net change | −6 | 10 | −12 | −9 |
Event . | Ten-year exp. inflation . | Ten-year IRP . | neg. RRB liq. premium . | Ten-year BEI . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 24, 2008 | 162 | 7 | −44 | 125 | |
I | Nov. 26, 2008 | 160 | 2 | −48 | 114 |
Change | −2 | −5 | −4 | −11 | |
Nov. 28, 2008 | 159 | 0 | −50 | 108 | |
II | Dec. 2, 2008 | 156 | −3 | −53 | 100 |
Change | −3 | −3 | −3 | −8 | |
Dec. 15, 2008 | 152 | 9 | −56 | 105 | |
III | Dec. 17, 2008 | 149 | 19 | −61 | 107 |
Change | −2 | 9 | −5 | 2 | |
Jan. 27, 2009 | 148 | 31 | −62 | 117 | |
IV | Jan. 29, 2009 | 150 | 33 | −60 | 123 |
Change | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Mar. 17, 2009 | 147 | 44 | −61 | 129 | |
V | Mar. 19, 2009 | 145 | 54 | −64 | 135 |
Change | −1 | 10 | −3 | 6 | |
Aug. 11, 2009 | 163 | 83 | −27 | 219 | |
VI | Aug. 13, 2009 | 163 | 82 | −27 | 218 |
Change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sep. 22, 2009 | 160 | 77 | −26 | 211 | |
VII | Sep. 24, 2009 | 160 | 78 | −27 | 211 |
Change | 0 | 2 | −1 | 1 | |
Nov. 3, 2009 | 158 | 95 | −23 | 229 | |
VIII | Nov. 5, 2009 | 158 | 90 | −22 | 226 |
Change | 1 | −5 | 2 | −3 | |
Total net change | −6 | 10 | −12 | −9 |
Notes: The decomposition of one-day responses of the Canadian 10-year BEI rate on eight U.S. QE announcement dates into changes in (i) the average expected inflation over the next 10 years, (ii) the 10-year inflation risk premium, and (iii) the negative of the RRB liquidity premium based on the preferred CLR-L model estimated with daily data. All numbers are measured in basis points and the daily changes are shown in bold.
Decomposition of two-day responses of Canadian 10-year BEI to U.S. QE announcements
Event . | Ten-year exp. inflation . | Ten-year IRP . | neg. RRB liq. premium . | Ten-year BEI . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 24, 2008 | 162 | 7 | −44 | 125 | |
I | Nov. 26, 2008 | 160 | 2 | −48 | 114 |
Change | −2 | −5 | −4 | −11 | |
Nov. 28, 2008 | 159 | 0 | −50 | 108 | |
II | Dec. 2, 2008 | 156 | −3 | −53 | 100 |
Change | −3 | −3 | −3 | −8 | |
Dec. 15, 2008 | 152 | 9 | −56 | 105 | |
III | Dec. 17, 2008 | 149 | 19 | −61 | 107 |
Change | −2 | 9 | −5 | 2 | |
Jan. 27, 2009 | 148 | 31 | −62 | 117 | |
IV | Jan. 29, 2009 | 150 | 33 | −60 | 123 |
Change | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Mar. 17, 2009 | 147 | 44 | −61 | 129 | |
V | Mar. 19, 2009 | 145 | 54 | −64 | 135 |
Change | −1 | 10 | −3 | 6 | |
Aug. 11, 2009 | 163 | 83 | −27 | 219 | |
VI | Aug. 13, 2009 | 163 | 82 | −27 | 218 |
Change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sep. 22, 2009 | 160 | 77 | −26 | 211 | |
VII | Sep. 24, 2009 | 160 | 78 | −27 | 211 |
Change | 0 | 2 | −1 | 1 | |
Nov. 3, 2009 | 158 | 95 | −23 | 229 | |
VIII | Nov. 5, 2009 | 158 | 90 | −22 | 226 |
Change | 1 | −5 | 2 | −3 | |
Total net change | −6 | 10 | −12 | −9 |
Event . | Ten-year exp. inflation . | Ten-year IRP . | neg. RRB liq. premium . | Ten-year BEI . | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nov. 24, 2008 | 162 | 7 | −44 | 125 | |
I | Nov. 26, 2008 | 160 | 2 | −48 | 114 |
Change | −2 | −5 | −4 | −11 | |
Nov. 28, 2008 | 159 | 0 | −50 | 108 | |
II | Dec. 2, 2008 | 156 | −3 | −53 | 100 |
Change | −3 | −3 | −3 | −8 | |
Dec. 15, 2008 | 152 | 9 | −56 | 105 | |
III | Dec. 17, 2008 | 149 | 19 | −61 | 107 |
Change | −2 | 9 | −5 | 2 | |
Jan. 27, 2009 | 148 | 31 | −62 | 117 | |
IV | Jan. 29, 2009 | 150 | 33 | −60 | 123 |
Change | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Mar. 17, 2009 | 147 | 44 | −61 | 129 | |
V | Mar. 19, 2009 | 145 | 54 | −64 | 135 |
Change | −1 | 10 | −3 | 6 | |
Aug. 11, 2009 | 163 | 83 | −27 | 219 | |
VI | Aug. 13, 2009 | 163 | 82 | −27 | 218 |
Change | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sep. 22, 2009 | 160 | 77 | −26 | 211 | |
VII | Sep. 24, 2009 | 160 | 78 | −27 | 211 |
Change | 0 | 2 | −1 | 1 | |
Nov. 3, 2009 | 158 | 95 | −23 | 229 | |
VIII | Nov. 5, 2009 | 158 | 90 | −22 | 226 |
Change | 1 | −5 | 2 | −3 | |
Total net change | −6 | 10 | −12 | −9 |
Notes: The decomposition of one-day responses of the Canadian 10-year BEI rate on eight U.S. QE announcement dates into changes in (i) the average expected inflation over the next 10 years, (ii) the 10-year inflation risk premium, and (iii) the negative of the RRB liquidity premium based on the preferred CLR-L model estimated with daily data. All numbers are measured in basis points and the daily changes are shown in bold.
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