Table D1

Negative binomial estimates of all protest events.

 Dependent variable: Contentious events
 Urban centreUrban clusterRural
 (1)(2)(3)
Time trend0.149***0.131***0.217***
(0.033)(0.039)(0.047)
Time trend20.002*0.003**0.001
(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Urbanization0.050*−0.036−0.087**
(0.021)(0.025)(0.031)
Urban growth−0.0730.016−0.047
(0.055)(0.057)(0.053)
Pop (log)−2.089**−0.454−1.152
(0.721)(0.750)(0.789)
Polyarchy0.7270.6250.698
(0.440)(0.495)(0.652)
GDP (log)−0.0500.087−0.311
(0.138)(0.163)(0.188)
Observations1,2251,2251,225
Log Likelihood−8,046.001−3,228.644−2,992.839
Akaike Inf. Crit.16,204.0006,569.2886,097.678
 Dependent variable: Contentious events
 Urban centreUrban clusterRural
 (1)(2)(3)
Time trend0.149***0.131***0.217***
(0.033)(0.039)(0.047)
Time trend20.002*0.003**0.001
(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Urbanization0.050*−0.036−0.087**
(0.021)(0.025)(0.031)
Urban growth−0.0730.016−0.047
(0.055)(0.057)(0.053)
Pop (log)−2.089**−0.454−1.152
(0.721)(0.750)(0.789)
Polyarchy0.7270.6250.698
(0.440)(0.495)(0.652)
GDP (log)−0.0500.087−0.311
(0.138)(0.163)(0.188)
Observations1,2251,2251,225
Log Likelihood−8,046.001−3,228.644−2,992.839
Akaike Inf. Crit.16,204.0006,569.2886,097.678

Note:

*

P < 0.05;

**

P < 0.01;

***

P < 0.001.

Table D1

Negative binomial estimates of all protest events.

 Dependent variable: Contentious events
 Urban centreUrban clusterRural
 (1)(2)(3)
Time trend0.149***0.131***0.217***
(0.033)(0.039)(0.047)
Time trend20.002*0.003**0.001
(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Urbanization0.050*−0.036−0.087**
(0.021)(0.025)(0.031)
Urban growth−0.0730.016−0.047
(0.055)(0.057)(0.053)
Pop (log)−2.089**−0.454−1.152
(0.721)(0.750)(0.789)
Polyarchy0.7270.6250.698
(0.440)(0.495)(0.652)
GDP (log)−0.0500.087−0.311
(0.138)(0.163)(0.188)
Observations1,2251,2251,225
Log Likelihood−8,046.001−3,228.644−2,992.839
Akaike Inf. Crit.16,204.0006,569.2886,097.678
 Dependent variable: Contentious events
 Urban centreUrban clusterRural
 (1)(2)(3)
Time trend0.149***0.131***0.217***
(0.033)(0.039)(0.047)
Time trend20.002*0.003**0.001
(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)
Urbanization0.050*−0.036−0.087**
(0.021)(0.025)(0.031)
Urban growth−0.0730.016−0.047
(0.055)(0.057)(0.053)
Pop (log)−2.089**−0.454−1.152
(0.721)(0.750)(0.789)
Polyarchy0.7270.6250.698
(0.440)(0.495)(0.652)
GDP (log)−0.0500.087−0.311
(0.138)(0.163)(0.188)
Observations1,2251,2251,225
Log Likelihood−8,046.001−3,228.644−2,992.839
Akaike Inf. Crit.16,204.0006,569.2886,097.678

Note:

*

P < 0.05;

**

P < 0.01;

***

P < 0.001.

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