Table 3.

Average connectedness of crude oil and agricultural commodities, COVID-19 outbreak, India (11 March 2020 to 23 February 2022)

CommodityBajraBarleyCottonTurmericCorianderJeeraSoybeanSoy oilMustardCrude oilFrom
Bajra76.828.22.261.661.053.951.521.661.571.3323.18
(62.31)(6.79)(2.03)(1.34)(0.74)(3.64)(1.17)(1.49)(1.31)(0.96)(19.46)
{14.5}{1.4}{0.24}{0.32}{0.31}{0.31}{0.34}{0.17}{0.26}{0.37}{3.72}
Barley7.4672.561.733.932.112.463.073.33.110.2827.44
(5.57)(53.03)(1.41)(2.77)(1.5)(2.1)(2.34)(2.72)(2.33)(0.19)(20.92)
{1.89}{19.53}{0.32}{1.16}{0.61}{0.37}{0.74}{0.58}{0.78}{0.08}{6.52}
Cotton1.756.9264.524.31.313.956.28.031.231.835.48
(1.33)(4.38)(49)(3.21)(1.19)(3.42)(5.6)(7.48)(1.06)(1.33)(29)
{0.42}{2.54}{15.52}{1.09}{0.11}{0.52}{0.6}{0.55}{0.17}{0.47}{6.47}
Turmeric1.943.74.9871.526.625.131.572.271.320.9528.48
(1.82)(2.79)(3.41)(53.01)(4.93)(4.16)(1.1)(1.75)(1.01)(0.69)(21.65)
{0.12}{0.9}{1.57}{18.52}{1.7}{0.97}{0.47}{0.53}{0.3}{0.26}{6.82}
Coriander0.593.511.37.5769.217.74.343.291.990.4930.79
(0.49)(3.28)(0.98)(4.93)(54.43)(6.12)(3.17)(2.41)(1.67)(0.37)(23.41)
{0.1}{0.23}{0.32}{2.64}{14.78}{1.58}{1.18}{0.88}{0.32}{0.12}{7.37}
Jeera3.062.343.987.27.5768.521.652.41.931.3531.48
(1.96)(1.79)(3.05)(6.21)(5.74)(54.75)(1.09)(2.06)(1.76)(1.31)(24.97)
{1.1}{0.55}{0.93}{0.99}{1.83}{13.77}{0.56}{0.34}{0.17}{0.04}{6.52}
Soybean0.933.083.261.221.711.255.4928.054.780.2744.51
(0.71)(2.49)(2.42)(0.9)(1.32)(0.89)(42.56)(22.48)(3.88)(0.2)(35.28)
{0.22}{0.58}{0.85}{0.32}{0.39}{0.32}{12.93}{5.58}{0.9}{0.07}{9.23}
Soy oil0.883.184.111.721.351.6526.6852.177.570.747.83
(0.71)(2.76)(3.06)(1.19)(1.09)(1.23)(20.85)(39.53)(5.77)(0.45)(37.12)
{0.17}{0.42}{1.04}{0.53}{0.26}{0.41}{5.82}{12.65}{1.8}{0.25}{10.71}
Mustard0.753.540.981.242.091.385.749.7974.080.4225.92
(0.62)(2.45)(0.87)(1.05)(1.56)(1.18)(4.42)(7.6)(60.15)(0.35)(20.1)
{0.13}{1.08}{0.11}{0.19}{0.53}{0.2}{1.32}{2.2}{13.93}{0.07}{5.81}
Crude oil1.763.4913.61.921.11.323.082.931.1769.6230.38
(1.67)(2.55)(12.12)(1.68)(0.81)(1)(2.88)(2.67)(1.06)(60.44)(26.44)
{0.09}{0.94}{1.48}{0.25}{0.29}{0.32}{0.19}{0.26}{0.12}{9.18}{3.94}
To19.1237.9436.230.7524.928.7453.8561.7324.677.58TCI
(14.88)(29.29)(29.34)(23.27)(18.88)(23.72)(42.61)(50.65)(19.86)(5.86)
{4.23}{8.65}{6.87}{7.48}{6.02}{5.01}{11.23}{11.08}{4.81}{1.72}
Net−4.0710.50.732.28−5.89−2.749.3413.91−1.25−22.832.55
−(4.58)(8.37)(0.33)(1.62)−(4.54)−(1.24)(7.34)(13.54)−(0.25)−(20.58)(25.84)
{0.51}{2.13}{0.39}{0.66}−{1.35}−{1.5}{2}{0.37}−{1}−{2.22}{6.71}
CommodityBajraBarleyCottonTurmericCorianderJeeraSoybeanSoy oilMustardCrude oilFrom
Bajra76.828.22.261.661.053.951.521.661.571.3323.18
(62.31)(6.79)(2.03)(1.34)(0.74)(3.64)(1.17)(1.49)(1.31)(0.96)(19.46)
{14.5}{1.4}{0.24}{0.32}{0.31}{0.31}{0.34}{0.17}{0.26}{0.37}{3.72}
Barley7.4672.561.733.932.112.463.073.33.110.2827.44
(5.57)(53.03)(1.41)(2.77)(1.5)(2.1)(2.34)(2.72)(2.33)(0.19)(20.92)
{1.89}{19.53}{0.32}{1.16}{0.61}{0.37}{0.74}{0.58}{0.78}{0.08}{6.52}
Cotton1.756.9264.524.31.313.956.28.031.231.835.48
(1.33)(4.38)(49)(3.21)(1.19)(3.42)(5.6)(7.48)(1.06)(1.33)(29)
{0.42}{2.54}{15.52}{1.09}{0.11}{0.52}{0.6}{0.55}{0.17}{0.47}{6.47}
Turmeric1.943.74.9871.526.625.131.572.271.320.9528.48
(1.82)(2.79)(3.41)(53.01)(4.93)(4.16)(1.1)(1.75)(1.01)(0.69)(21.65)
{0.12}{0.9}{1.57}{18.52}{1.7}{0.97}{0.47}{0.53}{0.3}{0.26}{6.82}
Coriander0.593.511.37.5769.217.74.343.291.990.4930.79
(0.49)(3.28)(0.98)(4.93)(54.43)(6.12)(3.17)(2.41)(1.67)(0.37)(23.41)
{0.1}{0.23}{0.32}{2.64}{14.78}{1.58}{1.18}{0.88}{0.32}{0.12}{7.37}
Jeera3.062.343.987.27.5768.521.652.41.931.3531.48
(1.96)(1.79)(3.05)(6.21)(5.74)(54.75)(1.09)(2.06)(1.76)(1.31)(24.97)
{1.1}{0.55}{0.93}{0.99}{1.83}{13.77}{0.56}{0.34}{0.17}{0.04}{6.52}
Soybean0.933.083.261.221.711.255.4928.054.780.2744.51
(0.71)(2.49)(2.42)(0.9)(1.32)(0.89)(42.56)(22.48)(3.88)(0.2)(35.28)
{0.22}{0.58}{0.85}{0.32}{0.39}{0.32}{12.93}{5.58}{0.9}{0.07}{9.23}
Soy oil0.883.184.111.721.351.6526.6852.177.570.747.83
(0.71)(2.76)(3.06)(1.19)(1.09)(1.23)(20.85)(39.53)(5.77)(0.45)(37.12)
{0.17}{0.42}{1.04}{0.53}{0.26}{0.41}{5.82}{12.65}{1.8}{0.25}{10.71}
Mustard0.753.540.981.242.091.385.749.7974.080.4225.92
(0.62)(2.45)(0.87)(1.05)(1.56)(1.18)(4.42)(7.6)(60.15)(0.35)(20.1)
{0.13}{1.08}{0.11}{0.19}{0.53}{0.2}{1.32}{2.2}{13.93}{0.07}{5.81}
Crude oil1.763.4913.61.921.11.323.082.931.1769.6230.38
(1.67)(2.55)(12.12)(1.68)(0.81)(1)(2.88)(2.67)(1.06)(60.44)(26.44)
{0.09}{0.94}{1.48}{0.25}{0.29}{0.32}{0.19}{0.26}{0.12}{9.18}{3.94}
To19.1237.9436.230.7524.928.7453.8561.7324.677.58TCI
(14.88)(29.29)(29.34)(23.27)(18.88)(23.72)(42.61)(50.65)(19.86)(5.86)
{4.23}{8.65}{6.87}{7.48}{6.02}{5.01}{11.23}{11.08}{4.81}{1.72}
Net−4.0710.50.732.28−5.89−2.749.3413.91−1.25−22.832.55
−(4.58)(8.37)(0.33)(1.62)−(4.54)−(1.24)(7.34)(13.54)−(0.25)−(20.58)(25.84)
{0.51}{2.13}{0.39}{0.66}−{1.35}−{1.5}{2}{0.37}−{1}−{2.22}{6.71}

Notes: The results are based on a TVP-VAR model with a lag length of order one (BIC) and a 100-step-ahead GFEVD.

Values in parentheses () and brackets {} represent short- and long-term frequency connectedness measures, respectively, while all other values are the corresponding time connectedness measures.

Source: Authors’ calculations.

Table 3.

Average connectedness of crude oil and agricultural commodities, COVID-19 outbreak, India (11 March 2020 to 23 February 2022)

CommodityBajraBarleyCottonTurmericCorianderJeeraSoybeanSoy oilMustardCrude oilFrom
Bajra76.828.22.261.661.053.951.521.661.571.3323.18
(62.31)(6.79)(2.03)(1.34)(0.74)(3.64)(1.17)(1.49)(1.31)(0.96)(19.46)
{14.5}{1.4}{0.24}{0.32}{0.31}{0.31}{0.34}{0.17}{0.26}{0.37}{3.72}
Barley7.4672.561.733.932.112.463.073.33.110.2827.44
(5.57)(53.03)(1.41)(2.77)(1.5)(2.1)(2.34)(2.72)(2.33)(0.19)(20.92)
{1.89}{19.53}{0.32}{1.16}{0.61}{0.37}{0.74}{0.58}{0.78}{0.08}{6.52}
Cotton1.756.9264.524.31.313.956.28.031.231.835.48
(1.33)(4.38)(49)(3.21)(1.19)(3.42)(5.6)(7.48)(1.06)(1.33)(29)
{0.42}{2.54}{15.52}{1.09}{0.11}{0.52}{0.6}{0.55}{0.17}{0.47}{6.47}
Turmeric1.943.74.9871.526.625.131.572.271.320.9528.48
(1.82)(2.79)(3.41)(53.01)(4.93)(4.16)(1.1)(1.75)(1.01)(0.69)(21.65)
{0.12}{0.9}{1.57}{18.52}{1.7}{0.97}{0.47}{0.53}{0.3}{0.26}{6.82}
Coriander0.593.511.37.5769.217.74.343.291.990.4930.79
(0.49)(3.28)(0.98)(4.93)(54.43)(6.12)(3.17)(2.41)(1.67)(0.37)(23.41)
{0.1}{0.23}{0.32}{2.64}{14.78}{1.58}{1.18}{0.88}{0.32}{0.12}{7.37}
Jeera3.062.343.987.27.5768.521.652.41.931.3531.48
(1.96)(1.79)(3.05)(6.21)(5.74)(54.75)(1.09)(2.06)(1.76)(1.31)(24.97)
{1.1}{0.55}{0.93}{0.99}{1.83}{13.77}{0.56}{0.34}{0.17}{0.04}{6.52}
Soybean0.933.083.261.221.711.255.4928.054.780.2744.51
(0.71)(2.49)(2.42)(0.9)(1.32)(0.89)(42.56)(22.48)(3.88)(0.2)(35.28)
{0.22}{0.58}{0.85}{0.32}{0.39}{0.32}{12.93}{5.58}{0.9}{0.07}{9.23}
Soy oil0.883.184.111.721.351.6526.6852.177.570.747.83
(0.71)(2.76)(3.06)(1.19)(1.09)(1.23)(20.85)(39.53)(5.77)(0.45)(37.12)
{0.17}{0.42}{1.04}{0.53}{0.26}{0.41}{5.82}{12.65}{1.8}{0.25}{10.71}
Mustard0.753.540.981.242.091.385.749.7974.080.4225.92
(0.62)(2.45)(0.87)(1.05)(1.56)(1.18)(4.42)(7.6)(60.15)(0.35)(20.1)
{0.13}{1.08}{0.11}{0.19}{0.53}{0.2}{1.32}{2.2}{13.93}{0.07}{5.81}
Crude oil1.763.4913.61.921.11.323.082.931.1769.6230.38
(1.67)(2.55)(12.12)(1.68)(0.81)(1)(2.88)(2.67)(1.06)(60.44)(26.44)
{0.09}{0.94}{1.48}{0.25}{0.29}{0.32}{0.19}{0.26}{0.12}{9.18}{3.94}
To19.1237.9436.230.7524.928.7453.8561.7324.677.58TCI
(14.88)(29.29)(29.34)(23.27)(18.88)(23.72)(42.61)(50.65)(19.86)(5.86)
{4.23}{8.65}{6.87}{7.48}{6.02}{5.01}{11.23}{11.08}{4.81}{1.72}
Net−4.0710.50.732.28−5.89−2.749.3413.91−1.25−22.832.55
−(4.58)(8.37)(0.33)(1.62)−(4.54)−(1.24)(7.34)(13.54)−(0.25)−(20.58)(25.84)
{0.51}{2.13}{0.39}{0.66}−{1.35}−{1.5}{2}{0.37}−{1}−{2.22}{6.71}
CommodityBajraBarleyCottonTurmericCorianderJeeraSoybeanSoy oilMustardCrude oilFrom
Bajra76.828.22.261.661.053.951.521.661.571.3323.18
(62.31)(6.79)(2.03)(1.34)(0.74)(3.64)(1.17)(1.49)(1.31)(0.96)(19.46)
{14.5}{1.4}{0.24}{0.32}{0.31}{0.31}{0.34}{0.17}{0.26}{0.37}{3.72}
Barley7.4672.561.733.932.112.463.073.33.110.2827.44
(5.57)(53.03)(1.41)(2.77)(1.5)(2.1)(2.34)(2.72)(2.33)(0.19)(20.92)
{1.89}{19.53}{0.32}{1.16}{0.61}{0.37}{0.74}{0.58}{0.78}{0.08}{6.52}
Cotton1.756.9264.524.31.313.956.28.031.231.835.48
(1.33)(4.38)(49)(3.21)(1.19)(3.42)(5.6)(7.48)(1.06)(1.33)(29)
{0.42}{2.54}{15.52}{1.09}{0.11}{0.52}{0.6}{0.55}{0.17}{0.47}{6.47}
Turmeric1.943.74.9871.526.625.131.572.271.320.9528.48
(1.82)(2.79)(3.41)(53.01)(4.93)(4.16)(1.1)(1.75)(1.01)(0.69)(21.65)
{0.12}{0.9}{1.57}{18.52}{1.7}{0.97}{0.47}{0.53}{0.3}{0.26}{6.82}
Coriander0.593.511.37.5769.217.74.343.291.990.4930.79
(0.49)(3.28)(0.98)(4.93)(54.43)(6.12)(3.17)(2.41)(1.67)(0.37)(23.41)
{0.1}{0.23}{0.32}{2.64}{14.78}{1.58}{1.18}{0.88}{0.32}{0.12}{7.37}
Jeera3.062.343.987.27.5768.521.652.41.931.3531.48
(1.96)(1.79)(3.05)(6.21)(5.74)(54.75)(1.09)(2.06)(1.76)(1.31)(24.97)
{1.1}{0.55}{0.93}{0.99}{1.83}{13.77}{0.56}{0.34}{0.17}{0.04}{6.52}
Soybean0.933.083.261.221.711.255.4928.054.780.2744.51
(0.71)(2.49)(2.42)(0.9)(1.32)(0.89)(42.56)(22.48)(3.88)(0.2)(35.28)
{0.22}{0.58}{0.85}{0.32}{0.39}{0.32}{12.93}{5.58}{0.9}{0.07}{9.23}
Soy oil0.883.184.111.721.351.6526.6852.177.570.747.83
(0.71)(2.76)(3.06)(1.19)(1.09)(1.23)(20.85)(39.53)(5.77)(0.45)(37.12)
{0.17}{0.42}{1.04}{0.53}{0.26}{0.41}{5.82}{12.65}{1.8}{0.25}{10.71}
Mustard0.753.540.981.242.091.385.749.7974.080.4225.92
(0.62)(2.45)(0.87)(1.05)(1.56)(1.18)(4.42)(7.6)(60.15)(0.35)(20.1)
{0.13}{1.08}{0.11}{0.19}{0.53}{0.2}{1.32}{2.2}{13.93}{0.07}{5.81}
Crude oil1.763.4913.61.921.11.323.082.931.1769.6230.38
(1.67)(2.55)(12.12)(1.68)(0.81)(1)(2.88)(2.67)(1.06)(60.44)(26.44)
{0.09}{0.94}{1.48}{0.25}{0.29}{0.32}{0.19}{0.26}{0.12}{9.18}{3.94}
To19.1237.9436.230.7524.928.7453.8561.7324.677.58TCI
(14.88)(29.29)(29.34)(23.27)(18.88)(23.72)(42.61)(50.65)(19.86)(5.86)
{4.23}{8.65}{6.87}{7.48}{6.02}{5.01}{11.23}{11.08}{4.81}{1.72}
Net−4.0710.50.732.28−5.89−2.749.3413.91−1.25−22.832.55
−(4.58)(8.37)(0.33)(1.62)−(4.54)−(1.24)(7.34)(13.54)−(0.25)−(20.58)(25.84)
{0.51}{2.13}{0.39}{0.66}−{1.35}−{1.5}{2}{0.37}−{1}−{2.22}{6.71}

Notes: The results are based on a TVP-VAR model with a lag length of order one (BIC) and a 100-step-ahead GFEVD.

Values in parentheses () and brackets {} represent short- and long-term frequency connectedness measures, respectively, while all other values are the corresponding time connectedness measures.

Source: Authors’ calculations.

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