Misinformation on Expected Mortality Rate Among Potential Migrants

Source: Author’s calculations based on own survey data.

Note: This figure shows the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of expected mortality rate abroad for potential migrants in the control group (who did not receive any information on wages or deaths). The solid blue line represents the cdf for the inexperienced potential migrants, and the dashed red line represents the cdf for the experienced ones. “Inexperienced” refers to potential migrants who have not yet migrated for foreign employment. “Experienced” refers to potential migrants who have migrated in the past for foreign employment. The means for these two groups are indicated by vertical lines and labeled accordingly. The short-dashed green vertical line represents the true mortality rate faced by the migrants, computed using data on deaths from the Foreign Employment Promotion Board of Nepal and the migrant stock data from Census 2011. The black vertical lines on the left show the level of information provided to the ‘high-wage” and “low-wage” treatment groups and are labeled accordingly.