Performance measures for the first simulation study vs the probability threshold used to identify transmission links. Top: Sensitivity, middle: specificity, bottom: precision. On the left, we show nondirectional transmission links, and on the right, we show directional transmission links. The red curves indicate the performance when using deme data, and the blue curves indicate performance when ignoring deme data. The vertical line at 0.5 shows the probability threshold used in our analysis.